Georgia's Spaceport and the Sunk Cost
Fallacy (Source: Spaceport Facts)
Retired USAF General Bob Dickman, a resident of the Georgia county
hoping to host Spaceport Camden, sent a letter to the local newspaper.
He wrote: “Whether the investment in Spaceport Camden over the past
years was spent wisely is not relevant to whether the spaceport should
go forward. As any business investor knows, the decision to proceed
with a project should depend on the potential return on investment
going forward. Sunk cost are 'sunk.' If the Spaceport were canceled
now, the return on investment would be zero. Going forward brings
potential benefits. ... Will all the gains be realized? Probably not.
But some will, and that’s better than walking away and getting nothing.”
Spaceport opponent Steve Weinkle disagrees, citing the Sunk Cost
Fallacy, defined as “the idea that a company or organization is more
likely to continue with a project if they have already invested a lot
of money, time, or effort in it, even when continuing is not the best
thing to do.” Weinkle pointed to what he called the "economic failure"
of similar state-backed spaceport ventures like Spaceport America,
Pacific Spaceport Complex, Oklahoma Spaceport, and even Wallops’
Mid-Atlantic Regional Spaceport. "None are economically
self-sufficient. None have produced the jobs or economic diversity
promised by spaceport hucksters." (12/18)
China Says Cooperation with U.S. on
Lunar Samples Depends on U.S. Policy (Source: Xinhua)
China is willing to cooperate with the United States on the scientific
study of its new lunar samples, but whether such cooperation takes
place depends on the policy of the U.S. government, according to an
official from the China National Space Administration (CNSA) on
Thursday. China is open to cooperation with governmental agencies,
enterprises and institutions, as well as scientists and engineers, from
the United States, on the basis of mutual benefit and the peaceful use
of space, said Wu Yanhua, deputy director of the CNSA, at a press
conference on the Chang'e-5 lunar mission. (12/18)
Removing Space Debris Requires Action
and Caution (Source: Tech Crunch)
Depending on who you ask, space debris is either a nonissue that will
solve itself or a critical problem that threatens the future of space
exploration. We interviewed dozens of experts across industry, academia
and the regulatory landscape to better understand which of these
viewpoints is closer to the truth, and to consider what ought to be
done going forward. Click here.
(12/18)
Space Force Commander Explains How the
New Military Service Operates Like a Startup (Source: Tech
Crunch)
General John W. “Jay” Raymond spoke at TechCrunch Sessions: Space and
explained how the youngest military branch operates like a startup. “In
some ways, we’re a startup as well,” Gen. Raymond said. “The National
Defense Authorization Act provided us great a great opportunity. And
that’s to be bold, think differently, start with a clean sheet of
paper, and build processes that work for us as needed to operate in the
domain we’re responsible for.”
Gen. Raymond explained one of his mantras is big is slow. “And if
you’re going to be a big organization, you’re going to be a slower
organization,” he said, explaining that his team has worked hard over
the last year to “flatten the bureaucracy, reduce layers of command,
get the experts that are operating our capabilities, close to a
decision-maker, or better yet pushed the decision making down to that
to their level. (12/18)
UCF-Developed Sensor Passes First
Test, On Track for Future Moon Missions (Source: UCF)
A prototype sensor that detects Moon dust by shooting lasers through
the sky has successfully completed its first hurdle. That means UCF is
one step closer to building the real instrument that could fly to the
moon on a future mission. UCF researchers designed the Ejecta STORM
instrument to scan the area around a lunar lander for moondust and
other hazards based on a concept planetary scientist Phil Metzger came
up with about 10 years ago.
Ejecta STORM stands for the Ejecta Sheet Tracking, Opacity and Regolith
Maturity. NASA funded a proposal to study this instrument about a year
ago. Earlier this month, a prototype that students helped build went
onto a tethered rocket system for a few test flights, courtesy of the
commercial partner Masten Space Systems, a space transportation company
based in California.
Understanding how dust behaves on the moon and other planetary surfaces
is critical for future space exploration missions. When a spacecraft
lands or takes off, the dust it kicks off could damage engines,
sandblast a nearby lunar outpost, or even impact a spacecraft orbiting
the moon. There is also interest in knowing how dust on the lunar
surface will behave when people are walking on it or rovers are driving
around, says project co-investigator Adrienne Dove. (12/18)
NASA Releases Best Practices Handbook
to Help Improve Space Safety (Source: Space Daily)
NASA has released the first iteration of its Spacecraft Conjunction
Assessment and Collision Avoidance Best Practices Handbook to share
information on best practices for coordinating in-orbit activity in a
safe and responsible manner. The agency aims for these best practices
to bolster stability, reduce current and future operational risks, and
contribute to a sustainable space environment for future public and
private sector activities.
Emerging commercial ventures, such as satellite servicing, in-space
manufacturing, and tourism, as well as new technologies enabling small
satellites and large constellations of satellites, present serious
challenges for safely and responsibly using space in a stable,
sustainable manner. These challenges affect not only the United States,
but also its allies and industry partners. (12/16)
Peter Beck on Rocket Lab’s Expanding
Orbit (Source: Tech Crunch)
Reusable rockets could change the economics for small launch, Beck
said. “The economics of small launch against larger rideshares are
always going to be different, because you have a much smaller launch
vehicle to amortize your costs over,” he explained, “However, this is
the reason that small dedicated launch is so valuable, you get your own
rocket and all the things that comes with that. But if you can get that
and have a platform that’s closer to rideshare costs, then that’s
really transformational for the industry.” Regarding the loss of a
vehicle in July, Beck said that it was tough but not unexpected in this
industry. Click here.
(12/18)
Swamp Watch: DoD Halts Biden
Transition Briefings (Source: Axios)
Acting Defense Secretary Chris Miller ordered a Pentagon-wide halt to
cooperation with the transition of President-elect Biden, shocking
officials across the Defense Department. Biden transition director
Yohannes Abraham contradicted the Pentagon's official response to this
story on Friday afternoon, telling reporters, "Let me be clear: there
was no mutually agreed upon holiday break." The Washington Post
published a story on Wednesday night revealing how much money would be
saved if Biden halted construction of Trump's border wall. Trump
officials blame the leak on the Biden transition team
Meetings between President Trump's team and the Biden team are going on
throughout the government, after a delayed start as the administration
dragged its feet on officially recognizing Biden as president-elect.
Then on Thursday night, Miller — who was appointed Nov. 9, when Trump
fired Defense Secretary Mark Esper right after the election — ordered
officials throughout the building to cancel scheduled transition
meetings. (12/18)
Russia Planning Lighter Weight
Spacecraft for Human Lunar Missions (Source: RIA Novosti)
The option to create a lightweight version of the Orel spacecraft,
code-named Eaglet, is being worked out at the Energia rocket and space
corporation (part of Roscosmos ) to organize manned flights to the
moon. In connection with the reduction of the crew from four people in
the Orel to two in the Orlyonok, the mass of the crew's life support
system will be reduced. Earlier, the head of Roscosmos Dmitry Rogozin
announced the need to immediately start developing a new Russian manned
spacecraft for flights to orbital stations . Then there was no talk of
flights to the moon. (12/17)
Biden't China Space Dilemma
(Source: Politico)
Some of Biden’s top space advisers have argued that it’s important to
cooperate with China in space, even as Beijing’s behavior continues to
threaten America in nearly every other area. Despite China’s theft of
intellectual property, humans rights violations and weapons to threaten
U.S. troops, “trying to exclude them I think is a failing strategy,”
Pam Melroy, a former astronaut who is serving on Biden’s NASA
transition team and is among those being considered to lead the space
agency, told us before the election. “It’s very important that we
engage."
One of the biggest barriers is Capitol Hill , where lawmakers imposed a
ban on the two nations working together unless a mission is vetted by
the FBI for any risks of data sharing. And the man behind that barrier
— former Rep. Frank Wolf (R-Va.) — doesn’t think his namesake Wolf
Amendment is going away any time soon.
The U.S. used common pursuits in orbit to ease tensions with Russia on
Earth during the Cold War, but the situation with Beijing is very
different. Whereas the former Soviet Union was crippled and in need of
American help, China would be coming to the U.S. as an almost equal,
having already accomplished difficult missions like this week’s return
of lunar samples. (12/18)
Bills Moving to Protect Lunar Heritage
Sites (Source: Politico)
It’s one small step for future agreements governing neighborly
relations in space. The House this week passed a bill to protect the
Apollo landing sites on the lunar surface. It has major implications
for preserving history but also commercial activities such as mining,
according to Michelle Hanlon, the co-founder of For All Moonkind, a
nonprofit focused on preserving historical sites in space. By requiring
companies who want to partner with NASA not to disturb historic sites,
it sets precedent for private actors to leave others’ exploration
equipment alone.
There is currently no legal definition of what should be protected or
how far away other spacecraft should operate from other players, Hanlon
said. The Senate has its own version. The House legislation would
require NASA’s private partners to protect the Apollo landing site,
while the Senate bill would make preserving historic locations a
requirement for getting a federal license for space operations. Under
the House plan, companies going to the moon without NASA would not be
bound by the restrictions. (12/18)
GAO Sees High Risk in Artemis
Assessment (Source: Politico)
NASA’s management of acquisition programs has been designated as
“high-risk” by the Government Accountability Office for three decades.
And its main efforts to return humans to the moon are no different, the
government watchdog warned in a new assessment this week.
The Orion crew vehicle built by Lockheed Martin, the Space Launch
System rocket developed by Boeing, and Exploration Ground Systems,
which support the assembly, test, and launch of the two systems as well
as recovery of the crew vehicle, all face significant delays and cost
growth that could delay missions for years. Compounding the problem is
too much turnover at the space agency. “These challenges have also been
exacerbated in some instances by NASA changing leadership responsible
for the programs working on major development efforts,” GAO said.
(12/18)
Soyuz Rocket Launches OneWeb
Satellites at Vostochny (Source: Arianespace)
A Soyuz rocket launched Friday morning carrying three dozen OneWeb
satellites. The Soyuz-2.1b rocket lifted off from the Vostochny
Cosmodrome in Russia's Far East at 7:26 a.m. Eastern. The 36 satellites
on board will be released in groups of four over a four-hour period.
The launch resumes the deployment of OneWeb's broadband constellation
that was put on hold when the company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
in March. The company emerged from Chapter 11 this fall under a new
ownership group led by the Bharti Global and the British government.
(12/18)
Vega Cable Problem Confirmed as Launch
Failure Cause (Source: Space News)
An independent investigation confirmed that improperly connected cables
caused the failure of a Vega launch last month. The European Space
Agency announced Friday that the investigation found two cables used in
the thrust vector control system of the Vega's upper stage were
inverted, causing the stage to tumble seconds after ignition on the
Nov. 16 launch. The investigation found that "misleading" procedures
contributed to the cables to be misconnected and that inspections
failed to detect the problem. The investigation recommended both more
detailed inspections of the next two Vega rockets, which have already
been built, and changes in assembly and testing procedures for future
Vega rockets. Arianespace estimates the Vega will be ready to return to
flight by late March. (12/18)
Raymond: China's Space Program a
Concern for Space Force (Source: Space News)
The head of the U.S. Space Force said that China's space program is
"concerning." Gen. John Raymond, speaking at a conference Thursday,
said China "has gone from zero to 60 really quick" in space and now has
"a very robust program." Raymond said China is developing cutting-edge
space systems in an effort to match the space capabilities of the
United States, but is also pursuing technologies that could be used as
weapons against American satellites. The Space Force is responding by
taking steps to innovate faster, Raymond said. (12/18)
ULA Expects First Vulcan Launch in
Late 2021 (Source: Space News)
United Launch Alliance expects the first Vulcan launch to take place in
no earlier than late 2021. ULA CEO Tory Bruno said Thursday that ULA is
confident that both the launch vehicle and its first customer,
Astrobotic's Peregrine lunar lander, will be on the launch pad "by the
end of next year." The timeline for Vulcan's first flight has slipped
over the past two years because ULA does not yet have flight-qualified
BE-4 main engines for Vulcan's first stage, and those engines won't
arrive until the summer of 2021. Bruno said testing is being done with
pathfinder engines recently delivered to ULA to help ease the
integration of the flight engines when they arrive. The Vulcan launch
is one of 10 launches ULA plans to perform in 2021. (12/18)
CesiumAstro Raises $15 Million for
Phased Array Comm Payloads (Source: Space News)
A startup has raised a new round of funding to fuel its development of
active phased array satellite antennas. CesiumAstro raised $15 million
in an investment round in November led by Airbus Ventures and Kleiner
Perkins. The company has raised $29.2 million to date to establish its
business of selling phased array communications and radio frequency
sensing payloads for government and commercial customers. With the
latest funding, CesiumAstro plans to launch two cubesats to prove its
technology in space and to expand the number of frequencies it offers
customers. (12/18)
Boeing, Jacksonville Aviation
Authority Approve Agreement for New Hangar, Office Space at Cecil
Airport/Spaceport (Source: FDCA)
Boeing has entered into a 25-year lease agreement with the Jacksonville
Aviation Authority (JAA) to grow its maintenance, repair and overhaul
(MRO) operations at its Cecil Field site, located at Cecil
Airport/Spaceport. Under the agreement, JAA will construct and lease to
Boeing new facilities on approximately 30 acres near Boeing’s existing
MRO site. The deal is expected to result in Boeing adding about 400
more jobs at Cecil Airport. The average wage of the new jobs will be
more than $65,000 plus benefits.
Boeing Cecil Field is one of the company’s longstanding facilities.
Since opening in 1999, its employees have maintained, modified and
upgraded nearly 1,000 aircraft for the U.S. Navy and Marine Corps,
including the F/A-18 A-D Hornet, F/A-18 E/F Super Hornet and EA-18G
Growler. It is home to a Flight Control Repair Center that provides
structural repairs to F/A-18 A-F and EA-18G flight control surfaces,
and where the Boeing team converts F/A-18 Super Hornets into flight
demonstration aircraft for the U.S. Navy’s Blue Angel squadron.
Boeing’s support for the U.S. Air Force QF-16 program, which converts
retired F-16s into the next generation of combat training and testing
for autonomous aerial targets, is also based at Boeing Cecil Field.
(12/18)
New Satellite Propulsion Test Facility
to Propel UK into New Space Age (Source: Space Daily)
A new gold standard national rocket test facility will soon open its
doors. The new center will allow UK companies and academics to fire up
and test state-of-the-art space propulsion engines at up to 1.5kN in
high-altitude vacuum, an equivalent test altitude of 140,000ft. It will
cement the international reputation of the Westcott Space Cluster -
where the site will be based - in propulsion. Based in Aylesbury Vale
Enterprise Zone, the facility, which is expected to create around 60
jobs, is due for completion in early 2021 and will offer companies a
more affordable test facility than international rivals. (12/18)
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